Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | KC +110 NDSU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +11 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | KC -1.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -0.0 (-11.0) | 138.6 (-11.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -0.1 (-11.1) | 135.5 (-8.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -0.6 (-11.6) | 137.2 (-10.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KC -0.4 (-11.4) | 138.3 (-11.3) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | NDSU 95 – 59 KC |
| Jan 9, 2026 | NDSU 97 – 73 KC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | NDSU 78 – 72 KC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | NDSU 71 – 64 KC |
| Feb 9, 2024 | NDSU 82 – 78 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#256) | -3.2 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#240) | -0.69 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#245) | -0.77 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#245) | 0.481 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 12.4% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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