Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO +100 UNCO +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +2 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | IDHO -1.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -0.1 (+2.1) | 153.5 (+12.5) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -1.4 (+3.4) | 150.9 (+15.1) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -0.1 (+2.1) | 152.2 (+13.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -0.3 (+2.3) | 153.7 (+12.3) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UNCO 76 – 67 IDHO |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UNCO 91 – 83 IDHO |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UNCO 92 – 74 IDHO |
| Jan 24, 2025 | IDHO 77 – 76 UNCO |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UNCO 76 – 62 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-10 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#265) | -3.4 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#306) | -0.63 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#300) | -0.73 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#349) | 0.464 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 5.9 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 19.3% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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