Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -450 MILW +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +29 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -10.0 (+19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -9.6 (+19.4) | 155.4 (-10.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -9.2 (+19.8) | 154.6 (-9.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -8.3 (+20.7) | 155.8 (-10.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -8.3 (+20.7) | 156.7 (-11.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | MILW 78 – 65 YSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MILW 65 – 64 YSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MILW 84 – 74 YSU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MILW 79 – 64 YSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | YSU 84 – 80 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 9-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#112) | -2.4 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#137) | 0.13 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#126) | 0.03 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#136) | 0.531 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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