Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | RICE -700 UTSA +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTSA +5 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | RICE -13.3 (-18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -9.8 (-14.8) | 152.6 (+10.4) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -9.9 (-14.9) | 151.2 (+11.8) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -10.9 (-15.9) | 151.9 (+11.1) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -10.7 (-15.7) | 152.9 (+10.1) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | RICE 80 – 71 UTSA |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RICE 89 – 73 UTSA |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UTSA 84 – 56 RICE |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UTSA 90 – 84 RICE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RICE 80 – 76 UTSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 4-16 |
| Home | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#158) | -9.1 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#109) | -1.68 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#134) | -2.05 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#137) | 0.417 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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