Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | EWU -600 NAU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +17 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -10.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -9.8 (+7.2) | 151.9 (-24.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -9.8 (+7.2) | 148.6 (-21.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -10.4 (+6.6) | 150.6 (-23.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -9.9 (+7.1) | 153.0 (-26.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | EWU 88 – 57 NAU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | NAU 92 – 86 EWU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | NAU 66 – 53 EWU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NAU 87 – 67 EWU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | NAU 70 – 61 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 12-23 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-1 | 6-8 |
| Away | 10-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#128) | -4.4 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#96) | -1.57 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#106) | -1.60 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#105) | 0.420 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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