Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | NICH -110 AMCC +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -1.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -0.1 (-3.9) | 154.0 (-2.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -0.6 (-4.6) | 147.3 (+4.7) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -1.0 (-5.0) | 151.0 (+1.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -0.8 (-4.8) | 155.2 (-3.2) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | AMCC 83 – 76 NICH |
| Dec 30, 2025 | NICH 76 – 71 AMCC |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NICH 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AMCC 61 – 57 NICH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NICH 81 – 73 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#237) | -1.3 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#210) | -0.40 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#226) | -0.43 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#188) | 0.495 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.6% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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