Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MORE -188 TNST +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -4.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -2.7 (+7.3) | 136.2 (+1.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -3.6 (+6.4) | 134.7 (+3.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -2.9 (+7.1) | 134.8 (+3.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -3.0 (+7.0) | 136.5 (+1.5) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | TNST 93 – 67 MORE |
| Feb 14, 2026 | MORE 94 – 86 TNST |
| Jan 16, 2026 | TNST 105 – 100 MORE |
| Feb 28, 2025 | TNST 64 – 55 MORE |
| Dec 21, 2024 | MORE 74 – 68 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 13-4 |
| Away | 8-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#273) | -6.4 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#193) | -1.15 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#223) | -1.63 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#159) | 0.441 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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