Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | LAM +100 HCU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +16 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -4.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -2.4 (+13.6) | 149.1 (+16.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -3.4 (+12.6) | 149.2 (+16.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -2.7 (+13.3) | 149.5 (+16.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -2.7 (+13.3) | 150.6 (+15.4) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | HCU 75 – 53 LAM |
| Jan 13, 2026 | LAM 64 – 56 HCU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAM 66 – 58 HCU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LAM 63 – 61 HCU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | LAM 78 – 68 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-9 | 8-8 |
| Away | 2-12 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 85.0 |
| Massey | -13.7 (#353) | -14.5 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#351) | -2.34 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.12 (#355) | -2.84 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#353) | 0.394 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 58.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.