I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
44–14 on winners spread MAE 8.6 58 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Virginia @ Boston College -8.1 131.7 20% 48–63 ✗
Bucknell @ Lehigh +3.0 138.4 64% 62–78 ✓
Temple @ Cincinnati +8.3 147.6 79% 83–88 ✓
South Florida @ UCF +12.1 146.3 85% 82–75 ✗
Colgate @ Lafayette -5.1 137.5 25% 73–69 ✓
Holy Cross @ Loyola Maryland +2.5 141.8 63% 68–90 ✓
Bradley @ Valparaiso -11.6 139.4 16% 76–66 ✓
Syracuse @ Clemson +5.6 145.9 73% 73–91 ✓
Maine @ New Hampshire +1.5 132.1 59% 62–74 ✓
Bryant @ NJIT -5.4 151.7 27% 79–78 ✓
Binghamton @ Vermont +12.2 143.2 87% 70–81 ✓
Navy @ American University -1.2 132.6 38% 70–54 ✓
Minnesota @ Maryland +18.0 133.0 90% 70–88 ✓
Vanderbilt @ LSU -0.2 140.8 55% 77–84 ✗
Kentucky @ Florida +0.9 146.0 50% 82–74 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Davidson +4.4 138.8 68% 61–74 ✓
George Washington @ Rhode Island +2.3 146.5 59% 89–80 ✗
Duquesne @ La Salle -1.8 145.3 40% 91–74 ✓
Dayton @ Massachusetts -4.2 137.9 31% 72–54 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Presbyterian -2.2 132.2 38% 59–57 ✓
Radford @ High Point -3.6 143.2 36% 64–69 ✗
Campbell @ Winthrop +2.0 143.5 61% 93–95 ✓
Samford @ Chattanooga +0.1 152.6 45% 75–70 ✗
The Citadel @ East Tennessee State +5.4 140.7 73% 70–78 ✓
Mercer @ Furman +12.8 145.7 88% 67–70 ✓
Western Carolina @ UNC Greensboro +11.6 145.1 87% 52–71 ✓
Wofford @ VMI -6.6 148.3 26% 83–87 ✗
Southern Miss @ Old Dominion -1.3 139.5 47% 64–69 ✗
Marshall @ James Madison +2.1 156.9 60% 92–83 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern +6.4 143.7 75% 68–76 ✓
App State @ Georgia State -0.0 133.7 51% 78–52 ✓
Liberty @ Queens University -6.7 148.7 26% 85–77 ✓
Austin Peay @ Stetson +10.4 143.0 86% 51–76 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ North Florida +0.2 158.6 50% 64–77 ✓
Lipscomb @ Florida Gulf Coast +2.6 148.3 67% 73–64 ✗
Kennesaw State @ North Alabama -0.9 153.3 48% 79–66 ✓
Indiana State @ Belmont +2.1 155.3 55% 88–89 ✓
Troy @ UL Monroe -5.7 136.5 26% 82–78 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois +6.5 132.8 80% 63–86 ✓
UIC @ Evansville -2.0 141.0 40% 82–76 ✓
Illinois State @ Drake +16.3 144.4 89% 51–82 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Abilene Christian -0.1 152.4 48% 91–87 ✓
South Alabama @ Texas State -4.0 134.7 27% 76–67 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Central Arkansas -0.8 147.0 41% 101–71 ✓
Butler @ DePaul +0.1 139.6 41% 59–58 ✗
Arkansas State @ Louisiana +12.1 141.0 86% 74–85 ✓
Morehead State @ Eastern Illinois -3.4 134.8 30% 69–63 ✓
Tulane @ Houston +16.3 147.4 88% 59–89 ✓
Alabama @ South Carolina -17.4 151.6 12% 78–76 ✓
Wake Forest @ NC State +7.1 158.5 77% 74–90 ✓
North Carolina @ Notre Dame -6.4 148.5 28% 63–59 ✓
St. John's @ Georgetown -3.0 156.4 38% 79–70 ✓
Iowa @ Wisconsin +1.5 142.2 57% 52–64 ✓
Ole Miss @ Auburn +11.5 136.8 86% 74–78 ✓
Fordham @ Loyola Chicago -3.3 138.7 33% 71–69 ✓
New Mexico @ Boise State +6.1 146.0 76% 77–82 ✓
Western Illinois @ North Dakota +3.1 147.7 69% 81–70 ✗
Penn State @ Ohio State +2.0 146.7 59% 75–71 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.