Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | GASO -275 CCU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +8 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | GASO -8.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -6.0 (+2.0) | 144.2 (-0.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -4.6 (+3.4) | 141.7 (+2.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -6.5 (+1.5) | 142.9 (+1.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -6.4 (+1.6) | 143.7 (+0.3) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | GASO 96 – 72 CCU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CCU 79 – 75 GASO |
| Jan 1, 2026 | GASO 82 – 81 CCU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | GASO 85 – 58 CCU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | GASO 88 – 87 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#207) | -6.5 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#219) | -1.01 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#227) | -1.49 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#217) | 0.448 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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