Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | LAF +350 COLG -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +4 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -5.4 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -5.3 (+1.3) | 136.4 (+5.6) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -6.3 (+2.3) | 135.0 (+7.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -6.1 (+2.1) | 135.8 (+6.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -5.1 (+1.1) | 137.5 (+4.5) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LAF 70 – 69 COLG |
| Dec 31, 2025 | COLG 85 – 77 LAF |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LAF 76 – 61 COLG |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COLG 90 – 67 LAF |
| Feb 19, 2024 | COLG 67 – 62 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAF | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-23 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 17-1 |
| Home | 5-7 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-16 | 11-4 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#255) | 4.0 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#304) | 0.43 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#291) | 0.76 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#266) | 0.539 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAF | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 51.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 40.3% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 58.3% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 14.7% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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