Betting Lines
| Spread | EVAN -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | EVAN +100 UIC +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +6 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -1.6 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (+18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -2.2 (-3.8) | 142.3 (+15.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -2.4 (-3.6) | 142.0 (+16.0) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -2.1 (-3.9) | 139.9 (+18.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -2.0 (-4.0) | 141.0 (+17.0) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UIC 84 – 46 EVAN |
| Jan 21, 2026 | UIC 76 – 49 EVAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UIC 82 – 77 EVAN |
| Jan 23, 2025 | UIC 78 – 67 EVAN |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UIC 88 – 79 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 4-16 |
| Home | 3-10 | 7-8 |
| Away | 1-14 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#347) | -7.3 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#332) | -1.15 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#335) | -1.48 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#333) | 0.434 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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