Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Atlantic Sun Conference · Curry Arena · February 23, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread LIB -9.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money QUC +333 / LIB -500
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUC win
Actual LIB +8 162 Lost
Massey LIB -7.7 (-0.3) — —
Massey Totals — 145.2 (+16.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 32% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 25% ✓
Baseline Plus ML LIB -7.9 (-0.1) 146.5 (+15.5) 28% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LIB -6.5 (-1.5) 145.0 (+17.0) 26% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LIB -6.2 (-1.8) 148.0 (+14.0) 28% ✓
Baseline ML LIB -6.7 (-1.3) 148.7 (+13.3) 26% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2023 LIB 73 – 53 QUC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUC LIB
Overall 18-15 27-9
Conference 7-11 15-3
Home 8-5 19-1
Away 7-10 6-7
Neutral 3-0 2-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.6 72.6
Avg Pts Against 75.5 62.3
Massey -2.1 (#213) 9.2 (#54)
Bradley-Terry 0.00 (#172) 1.37 (#65)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.19 (#185) 1.62 (#69)
RPI 0.494 (#193) 0.589 (#30)
Shooting & Four Factors QUC LIB
FG% 44.2% 46.8%
3PT% 35.0% 36.5%
REB / G 36.2 33.3
OREB / G 10.9 8.0
AST / TO 1.09 1.46
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.0% 55.9%
TOV% 17.4% 16.5%
ORB% 30.2% 25.1%
FT Rate 26.1% 18.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.2% 48.6%
Opp TOV% 15.7% 19.6%
DRB% 72.9% 79.4%
Opp FT Rate 17.7% 20.3%

Game Analysis

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