Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -2000 QUC +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +20 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -14.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -14.8 (+5.2) | 149.7 (-23.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -12.0 (+8.0) | 146.0 (-20.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -13.5 (+6.5) | 150.1 (-24.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -13.4 (+6.6) | 151.4 (-25.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2023 | LIB 85 – 77 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 19-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#55) | -2.0 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#65) | -0.04 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#63) | -0.22 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#28) | 0.493 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 79.2% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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