Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UVM -900 BING +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +11 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -14.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -12.0 (-1.0) | 140.2 (+10.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -14.1 (-3.1) | 138.4 (+12.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -13.1 (-2.1) | 142.0 (+9.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -12.2 (-1.2) | 143.2 (+7.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UVM 73 – 65 BING |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UVM 60 – 59 BING |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BING 75 – 72 UVM |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UVM 72 – 64 BING |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UVM 62 – 49 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 8-8 |
| Home | 13-1 | 8-7 |
| Away | 9-6 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#126) | -7.6 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#125) | -1.05 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#138) | -1.67 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#59) | 0.465 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 19.9% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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