Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | VMI +350 WOF -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VMI +4 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -6.7 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -7.4 (+11.4) | 145.9 (+24.1) | 28% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -6.9 (+10.9) | 141.9 (+28.1) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -6.3 (+10.3) | 145.0 (+25.0) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -6.6 (+10.6) | 148.3 (+21.7) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WOF 82 – 76 VMI |
| Feb 4, 2026 | WOF 81 – 67 VMI |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WOF 85 – 65 VMI |
| Feb 19, 2025 | WOF 82 – 43 VMI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | VMI 74 – 67 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-8 | 12-4 |
| Away | 1-14 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#350) | -3.1 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.76 (#358) | -0.62 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.24 (#359) | -0.90 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#356) | 0.470 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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