Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | UNH -125 ME +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +12 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -2.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -1.4 (+10.6) | 131.9 (+4.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -2.5 (+9.5) | 130.3 (+5.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -1.4 (+10.6) | 131.5 (+4.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -1.5 (+10.5) | 132.1 (+3.9) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | ME 61 – 58 UNH |
| Jan 19, 2026 | UNH 65 – 48 ME |
| Feb 28, 2025 | ME 73 – 66 UNH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | ME 71 – 46 UNH |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UNH 60 – 57 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#280) | -5.4 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#261) | -1.11 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#259) | -1.30 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#255) | 0.453 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.