Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | FUR -900 MER +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +3 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -13.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -13.3 (-10.3) | 145.2 (-8.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -12.9 (-9.9) | 144.9 (-7.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -13.4 (-10.4) | 144.8 (-7.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -12.8 (-9.8) | 145.7 (-8.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | MER 69 – 64 FUR |
| Dec 31, 2025 | FUR 74 – 72 MER |
| Feb 13, 2025 | FUR 96 – 72 MER |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FUR 79 – 74 MER |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MER 82 – 75 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | MER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.2 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#90) | -4.4 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#115) | -1.09 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#110) | -1.12 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#103) | 0.450 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | MER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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