Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -1600 ILST +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +31 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -16.2 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -16.7 (+14.3) | 141.8 (-8.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -14.1 (+16.9) | 140.7 (-7.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -16.2 (+14.8) | 142.5 (-9.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -16.3 (+14.7) | 144.4 (-11.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | ILST 86 – 76 DRKE |
| Dec 30, 2025 | ILST 73 – 56 DRKE |
| Feb 13, 2025 | DRKE 84 – 77 ILST |
| Jan 16, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 62 ILST |
| Jan 18, 2024 | DRKE 77 – 56 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-1 | 8-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#80) | -5.5 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#62) | -1.04 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#62) | -1.33 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#52) | 0.432 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 78.1% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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