Betting Lines
| Spread | DEP -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | DEP -154 BTLR +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +1 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | BTLR -0.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEP -0.4 (-1.4) | 141.5 (-24.5) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEP -0.1 (-1.1) | 139.5 (-22.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEP -0.2 (-1.2) | 138.5 (-21.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -0.1 (-1.1) | 139.6 (-22.6) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BTLR 81 – 71 DEP |
| Jan 21, 2026 | BTLR 87 – 80 DEP |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BTLR 84 – 72 DEP |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BTLR 86 – 69 DEP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BTLR 82 – 63 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 6-14 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-12 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#161) | 4.0 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#165) | 0.69 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#163) | 0.89 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#204) | 0.503 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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