Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | LEH -163 BUCK +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +16 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -4.0 (+12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -4.1 (+11.9) | 137.6 (+2.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -3.3 (+12.7) | 137.0 (+3.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -3.0 (+13.0) | 138.9 (+1.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -3.0 (+13.0) | 138.4 (+1.6) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LEH 89 – 79 BUCK |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BUCK 72 – 65 LEH |
| Feb 18, 2025 | BUCK 67 – 50 LEH |
| Jan 3, 2025 | LEH 66 – 64 BUCK |
| Feb 13, 2024 | LEH 71 – 63 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#288) | -7.1 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#235) | -1.66 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#248) | -1.98 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#205) | 0.415 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 19.7% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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