Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–10 on winners spread MAE 9.1 30 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Baylor @ Kansas State +1.6 151.7 62% 65–75 ✓
Tennessee @ Texas A&M -0.8 131.9 54% 63–68 ✗
Miami @ Virginia Tech +1.1 157.0 50% 76–70 ✗
Murray State @ Missouri State +4.6 136.1 72% 69–84 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Pittsburgh +12.9 141.0 88% 68–76 ✓
Mississippi State @ Missouri +1.8 140.4 58% 64–66 ✓
VCU @ Saint Joseph's -4.2 139.8 34% 88–63 ✓
Saint Louis @ Richmond -0.0 147.1 54% 78–81 ✗
Western Michigan @ Eastern Michigan +1.7 154.9 61% 59–66 ✓
Akron @ Toledo +3.6 152.5 68% 63–84 ✓
Central Michigan @ Buffalo +7.4 147.4 78% 35–63 ✓
Kent State @ Ball State -2.2 141.8 42% 70–82 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Ohio +9.5 150.6 85% 68–77 ✓
Bowling Green @ Miami (OH) +0.5 152.9 49% 65–74 ✓
Youngstown State @ Robert Morris -3.3 146.6 29% 64–83 ✗
East Carolina @ Tulsa -2.9 145.9 27% 62–60 ✓
Marquette @ Creighton +3.6 151.6 70% 73–71 ✗
Iowa State @ Texas +6.1 138.9 80% 54–72 ✓
Indiana @ Michigan State +1.6 135.3 63% 65–80 ✓
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma +2.1 143.6 61% 74–63 ✗
Georgia @ Arkansas +12.3 143.2 88% 65–97 ✓
Utah State @ Wyoming -6.9 146.4 27% 65–55 ✓
Fresno State @ Air Force +2.4 128.6 62% 74–69 ✗
San José State @ Nevada +9.7 139.9 82% 51–66 ✓
Colorado State @ San Diego State +11.2 142.1 86% 58–77 ✓
Bellarmine @ Jacksonville +4.0 125.8 66% 63–61 ✗
Boston University @ Army +3.7 139.8 66% 73–67 ✗
UMass Lowell @ UMBC -3.2 152.7 34% 75–70 ✓
Providence @ UConn +8.6 147.9 81% 69–87 ✓
Charleston Southern @ UNC Asheville +10.9 146.8 87% 62–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.