Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | SDSU -500 CSU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +19 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -12.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -10.8 (+8.2) | 141.8 (-6.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -10.9 (+8.1) | 137.5 (-2.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -11.7 (+7.3) | 141.7 (-6.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -11.2 (+7.8) | 142.1 (-7.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | SDSU 71 – 62 CSU |
| Feb 21, 2026 | CSU 83 – 74 SDSU |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SDSU 73 – 50 CSU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CSU 68 – 63 SDSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | SDSU 75 – 60 CSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-7 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-7 |
| Away | 8-2 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 9-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#24) | 4.1 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.53 (#15) | 0.30 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.93 (#19) | 0.39 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#9) | 0.517 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 18.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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