Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | JOES +188 VCU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JOES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +25 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -4.0 (-21.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -3.8 (-21.2) | 139.1 (+11.9) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -3.2 (-21.8) | 137.1 (+13.9) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -3.5 (-21.5) | 138.3 (+12.7) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -4.2 (-20.8) | 139.8 (+11.2) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | VCU 77 – 64 JOES |
| Jan 19, 2026 | VCU 79 – 72 JOES |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VCU 78 – 69 JOES |
| Mar 16, 2024 | VCU 66 – 60 JOES |
| Feb 25, 2024 | VCU 73 – 69 JOES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JOES | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-6 | 15-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 62.9 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#190) | 6.8 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#202) | 1.41 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#203) | 1.50 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#195) | 0.585 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JOES | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 25.1% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.