Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | CREI -275 MARQ +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +2 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -4.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -4.2 (-6.2) | 150.9 (-6.9) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -3.9 (-5.9) | 150.2 (-6.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -3.4 (-5.4) | 149.2 (-5.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -3.6 (-5.6) | 151.6 (-7.6) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MARQ 86 – 62 CREI |
| Dec 21, 2025 | CREI 84 – 63 MARQ |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CREI 77 – 67 MARQ |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MARQ 79 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CREI 89 – 75 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 29-7 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 17-3 |
| Home | 13-2 | 16-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 6-5 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#13) | 14.6 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#34) | 2.54 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#22) | 3.40 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#30) | 0.595 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.6% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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