Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | WYO +210 USU -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +10 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | USU -7.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-29.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -7.3 (-2.7) | 145.8 (-25.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USU -5.8 (-4.2) | 143.6 (-23.6) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -6.6 (-3.4) | 145.3 (-25.3) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -6.9 (-3.1) | 146.4 (-26.4) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | USU 85 – 83 WYO |
| Jan 29, 2026 | USU 94 – 62 WYO |
| Feb 5, 2025 | USU 71 – 67 WYO |
| Dec 5, 2024 | USU 70 – 67 WYO |
| Feb 15, 2024 | USU 84 – 76 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-8 | 14-2 |
| Away | 1-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-6 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#162) | 11.1 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#233) | 2.05 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#209) | 2.63 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#225) | 0.610 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | USU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 39.6% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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