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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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9–9 on winners spread MAE 9.4 18 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oklahoma State @ West Virginia +4.9 147.7 69% 67–85 ✓
Louisville @ Duke +18.4 140.2 90% 62–79 ✓
Howard @ Morgan State -0.6 147.0 46% 76–89 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Maryland Eastern Shore +0.9 140.6 55% 68–63 ✗
South Carolina State @ Delaware State +1.0 151.4 60% 68–69 ✓
Coppin State @ Norfolk State +14.4 156.7 89% 69–62 ✗
East Texas A&M @ Nicholls +6.0 147.8 70% 72–71 ✗
Hawai'i @ Cal State Bakersfield -3.6 127.4 32% 61–50 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas Southern +2.6 142.3 67% 59–64 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama State +4.1 139.1 69% 70–65 ✗
Kansas @ TCU +1.0 151.4 56% 63–58 ✗
Minnesota @ Illinois +17.4 140.1 90% 69–78 ✓
Florida A&M @ Alabama A&M +8.1 131.5 80% 77–71 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Prairie View A&M +11.0 135.7 86% 65–67 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara +5.1 134.2 68% 74–60 ✗
UC Riverside @ Cal State Northridge -5.4 135.6 28% 96–76 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal Poly -10.3 132.4 18% 59–56 ✓
Villanova @ Xavier +8.8 147.6 80% 64–63 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.