Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | NICH -450 ETAM +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +1 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -7.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -5.9 (-6.9) | 148.4 (-5.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -5.2 (-6.2) | 144.0 (-1.0) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -6.6 (-7.6) | 146.4 (-3.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -6.0 (-7.0) | 147.8 (-4.8) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NICH 72 – 68 ETAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NICH 80 – 58 ETAM |
| Feb 8, 2025 | NICH 81 – 65 ETAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | NICH 83 – 61 ETAM |
| Mar 12, 2024 | NICH 72 – 51 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-2 | 5-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#244) | -8.5 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#228) | -1.46 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#237) | -2.05 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#194) | 0.431 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.9% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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