Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | AAMU -600 FAMU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | AAMU -9.9 (-15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.1 (+18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -8.1 (-14.1) | 135.1 (+12.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -6.9 (-12.9) | 130.2 (+17.8) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -8.2 (-14.2) | 131.2 (+16.8) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -8.1 (-14.1) | 131.5 (+16.5) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | AAMU 63 – 61 FAMU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | AAMU 72 – 65 FAMU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | AAMU 77 – 66 FAMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FAMU 95 – 79 AAMU |
| Feb 27, 2024 | FAMU 76 – 58 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-8 | 4-7 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 58.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#310) | -14.7 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#320) | -2.60 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.12 (#327) | -3.21 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#325) | 0.385 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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