Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | TXSO -300 UAPB +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +5 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -4.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -2.8 (+2.2) | 141.6 (-18.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -4.1 (+0.9) | 140.8 (-17.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -2.8 (+2.2) | 141.9 (-18.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -2.6 (+2.4) | 142.3 (-19.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TXSO 83 – 64 UAPB |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UAPB 74 – 66 TXSO |
| Feb 25, 2025 | TXSO 81 – 56 UAPB |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UAPB 69 – 68 TXSO |
| Feb 27, 2024 | TXSO 77 – 70 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-21 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#304) | -9.2 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#313) | -1.94 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#314) | -2.23 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#295) | 0.415 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
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