Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | CP +450 UCI -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +3 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -10.7 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -9.9 (+6.9) | 132.5 (-17.5) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -10.9 (+7.9) | 129.0 (-14.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -10.2 (+7.2) | 131.3 (-16.3) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -10.3 (+7.3) | 132.4 (-17.4) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UCI 107 – 85 CP |
| Feb 13, 2026 | CP 79 – 73 UCI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | UCI 96 – 78 CP |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UCI 101 – 71 CP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UCI 98 – 89 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-25 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 1-18 | 15-5 |
| Home | 6-11 | 11-4 |
| Away | 1-13 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.4 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#303) | 6.2 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#341) | 0.86 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#332) | 1.18 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#349) | 0.542 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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