Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | UCSB -300 CSUF +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +14 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSB -5.2 (-19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -5.2 (-19.2) | 133.7 (+0.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -4.3 (-18.3) | 129.0 (+5.0) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -5.0 (-19.0) | 133.1 (+0.9) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -5.1 (-19.1) | 134.2 (-0.2) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | UCSB 83 – 69 CSUF |
| Jan 2, 2026 | CSUF 95 – 84 UCSB |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UCSB 86 – 56 CSUF |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UCSB 83 – 75 CSUF |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CSUF 79 – 70 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 10-4 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#112) | 2.1 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#95) | 0.14 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#103) | 0.08 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#113) | 0.513 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.