Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 120.5 Under |
| Money | CSUB +188 HAW -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +11 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -4.9 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -4.5 (-6.5) | 129.0 (-18.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -5.7 (-5.3) | 127.6 (-16.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -3.7 (-7.3) | 129.7 (-18.7) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -3.6 (-7.4) | 127.4 (-16.4) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | HAW 89 – 74 CSUB |
| Jan 23, 2026 | HAW 98 – 71 CSUB |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CSUB 76 – 64 HAW |
| Jan 19, 2025 | HAW 81 – 70 CSUB |
| Mar 10, 2024 | HAW 74 – 57 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 13-7 |
| Home | 6-8 | 13-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.3 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 62.0 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#284) | 2.1 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#273) | 0.44 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#265) | 0.85 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#296) | 0.510 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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