Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN +210 UCR -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +20 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | UCR -5.8 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (+39.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -6.0 (-14.0) | 135.5 (+36.5) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -7.3 (-12.7) | 134.9 (+37.1) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -6.2 (-13.8) | 134.8 (+37.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -5.4 (-14.6) | 135.6 (+36.4) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCR 95 – 84 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CSUN 88 – 74 UCR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCR 94 – 79 CSUN |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCR 68 – 64 CSUN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 70 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 0-14 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#311) | 1.0 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#354) | 0.62 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.62 (#347) | 0.41 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.374 (#359) | 0.529 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 77.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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