Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | NORF -1200 COPP +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COPP +7 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | NORF -16.5 (-23.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.1 (-29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -15.0 (-22.0) | 155.8 (-24.8) | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -13.9 (-20.9) | 153.1 (-22.1) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -15.2 (-22.2) | 157.4 (-26.4) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -14.4 (-21.4) | 156.7 (-25.7) | 89% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NORF 75 – 69 COPP |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NORF 103 – 76 COPP |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NORF 79 – 63 COPP |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NORF 92 – 69 COPP |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NORF 75 – 51 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 4-10 |
| Home | 10-2 | 4-6 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 83.2 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#163) | -12.6 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#116) | -1.63 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#124) | -2.12 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#106) | 0.427 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 18.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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