Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | RMU +188 YSU -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +19 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -5.0 (+24.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -3.8 (+22.8) | 144.4 (+2.6) | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -3.1 (+22.1) | 143.1 (+3.9) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -3.5 (+22.5) | 145.1 (+1.9) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -3.3 (+22.3) | 146.6 (+0.4) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | RMU 68 – 53 YSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | RMU 72 – 66 YSU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | RMU 80 – 77 YSU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | RMU 89 – 78 YSU |
| Jan 22, 2025 | RMU 72 – 70 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 15-5 |
| Home | 11-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#234) | 4.8 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#261) | 0.48 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#243) | 0.64 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#268) | 0.528 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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