We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Ohio Valley Conference · Groniger Arena · February 23, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread MORE -5.5 Away covered
O/U 129.5 Over
Money EIU +210 / MORE -200
Model Predictions
Spread Total EIU win
Actual MORE +6 132 Lost
Massey MORE -1.8 (-4.2) — —
Massey Totals — 129.0 (+3.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 21% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 20% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MORE -3.6 (-2.4) 134.9 (-2.9) 31% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MORE -4.7 (-1.3) 133.5 (-1.5) 25% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MORE -3.8 (-2.2) 134.5 (-2.5) 29% ✓
Baseline ML MORE -3.4 (-2.6) 134.8 (-2.8) 30% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 MORE 73 – 70 EIU
Jan 24, 2026 MORE 73 – 68 EIU
Feb 22, 2025 EIU 67 – 62 MORE
Jan 24, 2025 MORE 73 – 66 EIU
Feb 10, 2024 MORE 69 – 57 EIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EIU MORE
Overall 9-22 22-12
Conference 5-13 14-4
Home 6-9 14-2
Away 3-12 8-9
Neutral 0-1 0-1
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 66.9 66.2
Avg Pts Against 74.2 68.2
Massey -11.0 (#339) -5.5 (#267)
Bradley-Terry -2.12 (#348) -0.15 (#189)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.61 (#346) -0.50 (#220)
RPI 0.397 (#347) 0.516 (#149)
Shooting & Four Factors EIU MORE
FG% 43.3% 42.8%
3PT% 32.6% 35.2%
REB / G 33.2 34.2
OREB / G 9.4 9.0
AST / TO 0.99 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.8% 49.4%
TOV% 19.2% 19.6%
ORB% 25.9% 27.8%
FT Rate 20.8% 27.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.9% 49.8%
Opp TOV% 20.2% 15.5%
DRB% 67.2% 75.0%
Opp FT Rate 23.8% 21.5%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.