Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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45–18 on winners spread MAE 8.6 63 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Houston @ SMU -16.5 137.5 12% 80–65 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Middle Tennessee -3.6 149.3 39% 70–74 ✗
Wichita State @ Temple +3.4 143.5 65% 79–65 ✗
North Texas @ Louisiana Tech -3.1 130.9 27% 72–62 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Charlotte +4.7 132.6 70% 64–68 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Radford +3.3 140.6 62% 63–54 ✗
Long Island University @ Stonehill +12.0 138.6 88% 60–75 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Sacred Heart +2.4 156.0 67% 86–94 ✓
Wagner @ Central Connecticut -0.3 130.6 47% 57–58 ✗
Old Dominion @ James Madison +9.2 139.4 81% 67–76 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Marshall +13.2 147.7 87% 83–84 ✓
Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina +0.9 142.7 58% 68–77 ✓
Milwaukee @ Youngstown State +8.3 156.7 77% 58–87 ✓
Green Bay @ Robert Morris +11.6 131.0 88% 56–71 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Drexel +0.2 130.1 45% 72–71 ✗
Charleston @ Elon -12.2 147.1 13% 88–66 ✓
William & Mary @ Stony Brook +0.7 130.8 51% 66–71 ✓
Hampton @ Hofstra +17.8 145.3 90% 43–73 ✓
Delaware @ Towson +5.8 140.7 75% 72–95 ✓
Monmouth @ Northeastern +5.3 138.8 72% 62–77 ✓
Liberty @ Kennesaw State -2.9 140.4 40% 81–88 ✗
Queens University @ Jacksonville State -0.1 144.3 56% 69–76 ✗
Merrimack @ Hartford -5.3 121.4 18% 67–59 ✓
North Alabama @ Bellarmine +2.1 145.8 59% 70–57 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Eastern Kentucky +11.1 158.6 88% 58–74 ✓
UCF @ Memphis +4.8 150.8 76% 63–64 ✓
Colorado @ Arizona State +2.7 136.6 66% 67–59 ✗
UTSA @ Rice +10.7 152.9 83% 84–79 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls +0.8 155.2 49% 78–74 ✗
Houston Christian @ Lamar +2.7 150.6 64% 75–91 ✓
Southern Miss @ South Alabama -1.6 137.5 43% 54–85 ✗
UL Monroe @ Louisiana +10.8 145.7 86% 67–84 ✓
North Dakota @ Oral Roberts +20.0 157.1 90% 70–73 ✓
North Dakota State @ Kansas City +0.4 138.3 52% 69–58 ✗
South Dakota @ Omaha +1.7 148.3 59% 72–80 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State +6.9 148.9 75% 64–78 ✓
Jacksonville @ Austin Peay -2.2 129.0 35% 60–56 ✓
North Florida @ Lipscomb +5.5 152.7 74% 114–111 ✗
Incarnate Word @ McNeese +3.9 140.2 64% 76–78 ✓
Troy @ Arkansas State -6.6 131.8 28% 67–62 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Little Rock -0.8 160.8 42% 82–81 ✓
Saint Mary's @ San Diego -12.6 142.8 14% 62–59 ✓
UAB @ UTEP -5.3 145.5 26% 79–66 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ East Texas A&M +9.3 147.3 79% 84–78 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Northwestern State +8.1 154.1 82% 76–81 ✓
Ohio State @ Iowa +6.0 156.9 78% 75–92 ✓
Santa Clara @ BYU +3.9 151.2 69% 81–74 ✗
South Dakota State @ Denver -2.5 145.3 41% 80–75 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ UT Martin +0.3 151.1 56% 84–90 ✓
Tennessee State @ Morehead State +3.0 136.5 61% 64–74 ✓
Lindenwood @ Tennessee Tech +5.2 142.5 71% 68–77 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Idaho -0.3 153.7 50% 82–84 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington +9.9 153.0 85% 55–72 ✓
Utah @ Arizona +9.2 153.0 83% 62–88 ✓
California @ USC +13.8 132.2 88% 60–97 ✓
Weber State @ Sacramento State +1.3 135.1 57% 52–49 ✗
Idaho State @ Portland State +2.8 151.9 65% 70–79 ✓
Stanford @ UCLA +14.8 136.4 88% 64–73 ✓
Gonzaga @ Loyola Marymount -5.3 158.9 31% 108–65 ✓
Oregon State @ Washington State +11.4 126.2 85% 62–80 ✓
San Francisco @ Pacific -1.4 157.8 43% 76–68 ✓
Dartmouth @ Cornell +11.0 158.3 85% 83–95 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Kent State +18.6 150.3 90% 54–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.