Can I kick it? Yes you can. "Can I Kick It?" - A Tribe Called Quest
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
40–16 on winners spread MAE 8.4 56 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Alabama @ Tennessee +1.7 142.6 70% 59–68 ✓
Virginia @ Louisville -13.0 131.9 12% 61–58 ✓
Xavier @ Marquette +6.2 161.6 80% 68–69 ✓
Cincinnati @ East Carolina -6.4 145.5 30% 71–75 ✗
Boston University @ Holy Cross -0.4 136.8 48% 69–71 ✗
Lafayette @ Loyola Maryland -1.9 130.1 41% 70–73 ✗
Army @ Colgate +10.9 148.1 86% 86–93 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech -6.3 142.4 32% 70–77 ✗
Florida State @ Clemson +11.1 149.3 85% 54–94 ✓
NJIT @ Binghamton +2.9 137.5 62% 67–86 ✓
New Hampshire @ Vermont +10.6 136.1 86% 51–80 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Bryant +1.2 153.2 53% 85–71 ✗
UMBC @ UAlbany -6.1 145.6 29% 74–81 ✗
Navy @ Lehigh -1.7 139.2 43% 75–64 ✓
VCU @ Rhode Island -5.2 133.8 28% 55–54 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Fordham +5.7 135.9 74% 63–78 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Duquesne +7.6 145.6 81% 62–76 ✓
Richmond @ La Salle +1.3 142.9 60% 62–68 ✓
George Mason @ George Washington -0.7 148.9 40% 66–53 ✓
Longwood @ South Carolina Upstate -2.3 134.9 39% 67–72 ✗
High Point @ Presbyterian -0.1 140.7 41% 71–69 ✓
Winthrop @ Gardner-Webb +7.7 137.5 78% 86–78 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Campbell +4.6 145.2 68% 51–67 ✓
Chattanooga @ VMI -8.1 145.2 24% 78–58 ✓
Furman @ The Citadel -13.6 148.9 14% 65–69 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina +2.8 142.8 66% 66–68 ✓
Mercer @ Wofford +2.3 143.2 64% 67–70 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Oakland +12.6 148.1 87% 81–85 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Stetson +3.3 149.0 65% 72–75 ✓
Evansville @ Belmont +14.6 146.4 88% 63–95 ✓
Tarleton State @ Stephen F. Austin +5.2 141.3 73% 60–65 ✓
UT Arlington @ Sam Houston +13.8 130.8 87% 56–66 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Samford +0.5 143.6 58% 71–83 ✓
South Florida @ Tulsa -4.2 148.3 26% 96–69 ✓
Indiana State @ UIC -10.0 149.5 17% 79–60 ✓
Murray State @ Illinois State +0.8 146.0 56% 76–75 ✗
Missouri State @ Bradley +10.6 131.9 82% 54–64 ✓
Kentucky @ Mississippi State +4.7 131.0 70% 71–68 ✗
Indiana @ Northwestern +1.1 134.2 58% 62–64 ✓
TCU @ Iowa State +3.5 135.1 68% 59–70 ✓
Drake @ Northern Iowa -5.8 145.3 29% 82–74 ✓
Arkansas @ Texas A&M +2.2 142.6 69% 56–62 ✓
Davidson @ Saint Louis +5.0 143.9 71% 65–78 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Grand Canyon +10.4 146.5 84% 77–76 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ UC Davis +9.9 139.7 86% 62–73 ✓
Boise State @ Colorado State -4.5 137.0 32% 80–78 ✓
Seattle U @ California Baptist +0.3 135.3 45% 63–84 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Riverside +0.9 154.3 66% 76–88 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal Poly +0.2 126.6 41% 70–62 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC San Diego -4.5 131.7 29% 76–73 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Santa Barbara +2.2 141.8 61% 70–59 ✗
San Diego State @ Fresno State -7.6 132.9 21% 45–43 ✓
Oregon @ Washington -2.1 141.4 42% 71–72 ✗
Saint Francis @ St. Francis Brooklyn +0.6 138.1 41% 72–64 ✗
Purdue @ Maryland +1.5 133.8 66% 54–68 ✓
Texas State @ App State +3.6 128.8 62% 75–82 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.