Betting Lines
| Spread | STET -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | STET -110 FGCU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | STET -3.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -3.4 (-0.4) | 148.2 (-1.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -2.3 (+0.7) | 143.8 (+3.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -3.2 (-0.2) | 147.7 (-0.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STET -3.3 (-0.3) | 149.0 (-2.0) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | STET 78 – 63 FGCU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FGCU 78 – 76 STET |
| Feb 21, 2025 | FGCU 83 – 80 STET |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FGCU 82 – 56 STET |
| Feb 17, 2024 | STET 61 – 60 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#173) | -0.3 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#135) | 0.39 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#135) | 0.65 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#115) | 0.530 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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