Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | BRY -138 UML +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +14 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -2.2 (-16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -1.0 (-15.0) | 151.8 (+4.2) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -0.5 (-14.5) | 150.2 (+5.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -1.4 (-15.4) | 152.5 (+3.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -1.2 (-15.2) | 153.2 (+2.8) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UML 88 – 69 BRY |
| Jan 8, 2026 | UML 77 – 63 BRY |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BRY 79 – 78 UML |
| Jan 18, 2025 | BRY 85 – 62 UML |
| Mar 12, 2024 | UML 77 – 70 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-13 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 11-5 |
| Home | 9-4 | 17-0 |
| Away | 7-8 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#167) | 1.6 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#149) | 0.14 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#183) | 0.15 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#122) | 0.518 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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