Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | CIT +900 FUR -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +4 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -12.8 (+16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -13.3 (+17.3) | 148.2 (-14.2) | 14% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -13.3 (+17.3) | 148.7 (-14.7) | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -12.7 (+16.7) | 147.4 (-13.4) | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -13.6 (+17.6) | 148.9 (-14.9) | 14% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | FUR 72 – 51 CIT |
| Jan 22, 2026 | CIT 77 – 75 FUR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | FUR 85 – 42 CIT |
| Jan 9, 2025 | FUR 67 – 63 CIT |
| Feb 1, 2024 | FUR 82 – 79 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 5-9 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#328) | 6.9 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#325) | 0.86 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#319) | 1.02 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#327) | 0.542 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 19.9% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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