Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -500 MOST +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +10 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -10.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -8.6 (+1.4) | 127.1 (-9.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -10.6 (-0.6) | 132.2 (-14.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -10.6 (-0.6) | 131.9 (-13.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -10.6 (-0.6) | 129.2 (-11.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 5, 2025 | BRAD 69 – 60 MOST |
| Feb 22, 2024 | BRAD 86 – 62 MOST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | BRAD 86 – 60 MOST |
| Dec 4, 2022 | BRAD 58 – 40 MOST |
| Feb 24, 2022 | MOST 83 – 67 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-6 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 63.7 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#70) | 1.0 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#86) | 0.27 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#93) | 0.14 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#58) | 0.533 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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