Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -900 MOST +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +9 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -13.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -10.9 (-1.9) | 142.4 (-13.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -11.6 (-2.6) | 143.6 (-14.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -12.4 (-3.4) | 143.8 (-14.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -12.3 (-3.3) | 143.5 (-14.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2024 | BRAD 86 – 62 MOST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | BRAD 86 – 60 MOST |
| Feb 16, 2023 | BRAD 64 – 54 MOST |
| Dec 4, 2022 | BRAD 58 – 40 MOST |
| Feb 24, 2022 | MOST 83 – 67 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 2-18 |
| Home | 14-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 9-3 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#84) | -2.9 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#58) | -0.79 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#67) | -0.58 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#53) | 0.460 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 43.6% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.6% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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