Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | UNI +188 DRKE -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +8 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -5.1 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (+17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -5.5 (-2.5) | 145.4 (+10.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -4.5 (-3.5) | 144.7 (+11.3) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -5.5 (-2.5) | 143.8 (+12.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -5.8 (-2.2) | 145.3 (+10.7) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UNI 75 – 53 DRKE |
| Feb 15, 2026 | UNI 86 – 62 DRKE |
| Feb 23, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 58 UNI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 52 UNI |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UNI 91 – 77 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 15-5 |
| Home | 8-8 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 64.4 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#210) | 6.7 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#231) | 1.38 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#229) | 1.66 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#217) | 0.572 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 78.2% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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