Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | VMI +275 UTC -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +20 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -8.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -8.5 (-11.5) | 144.7 (-8.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -8.7 (-11.3) | 144.5 (-8.5) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -7.8 (-12.2) | 145.5 (-9.5) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -8.1 (-11.9) | 145.2 (-9.2) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UTC 86 – 79 VMI |
| Jan 3, 2026 | VMI 79 – 71 UTC |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UTC 91 – 70 VMI |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UTC 91 – 66 VMI |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UTC 88 – 84 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-7 |
| Away | 1-14 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#343) | -0.4 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.67 (#356) | -0.50 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.12 (#355) | -0.46 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.392 (#349) | 0.494 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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