Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | WASH +170 ORE -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +1 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -2.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -2.1 (+3.1) | 139.8 (+3.2) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -3.2 (+4.2) | 139.9 (+3.1) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -1.9 (+2.9) | 142.2 (+0.8) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -2.1 (+3.1) | 141.4 (+1.6) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ORE 85 – 79 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2026 | WASH 72 – 57 ORE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | ORE 80 – 73 WASH |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ORE 82 – 71 WASH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | ORE 85 – 80 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-6 | 15-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#109) | 10.2 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#107) | 1.35 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#109) | 1.74 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#157) | 0.558 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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