Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | LEH +138 NAVY -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAVY +11 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | NAVY -2.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -2.1 (-8.9) | 138.7 (+0.3) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAVY -3.3 (-7.7) | 136.4 (+2.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -2.1 (-8.9) | 138.1 (+0.9) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -1.7 (-9.3) | 139.2 (-0.2) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | NAVY 72 – 49 LEH |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NAVY 82 – 79 LEH |
| Feb 13, 2025 | NAVY 63 – 60 LEH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | NAVY 79 – 54 LEH |
| Feb 1, 2024 | LEH 77 – 65 NAVY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 65.3 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#283) | -0.8 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#233) | -0.50 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#242) | -0.63 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#202) | 0.491 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 19.4% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.