Betting Lines
| Spread | CP -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 114.5 Over |
| Money | CP -150 CSUB +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +8 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | CP -3.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 113.8 (+18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -0.6 (-7.4) | 126.1 (+5.9) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -0.0 (-8.0) | 121.6 (+10.4) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -0.2 (-7.8) | 124.2 (+7.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CP -0.2 (-8.2) | 126.6 (+5.4) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CP 108 – 76 CSUB |
| Jan 30, 2026 | CP 104 – 79 CSUB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CP 98 – 72 CSUB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CP 90 – 81 CSUB |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CSUB 68 – 56 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-25 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 1-18 | 6-14 |
| Home | 6-11 | 6-8 |
| Away | 1-13 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.4 | 59.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#294) | -6.7 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#332) | -1.13 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#326) | -1.30 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#347) | 0.431 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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