Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | GWEB -333 WIN +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +8 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | GWEB -9.2 (-17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (+27.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -7.7 (-15.7) | 136.3 (+27.7) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -5.8 (-13.8) | 136.1 (+27.9) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -8.6 (-16.6) | 136.1 (+27.9) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -7.7 (-15.7) | 137.5 (+26.5) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | WIN 103 – 85 GWEB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WIN 88 – 77 GWEB |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WIN 96 – 93 GWEB |
| Jan 9, 2025 | GWEB 89 – 83 WIN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GWEB 65 – 64 WIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#155) | -5.0 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#208) | -1.07 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#199) | -1.36 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#186) | 0.449 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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